“The likely turbulences in the EU that may follow Brexit will preoccupy NATO’s European members with their internal problems and distract the alliance from being an engaged security provider in Europe’s neighborhood.” – Adam Balcer and Krzysztof Blusz answer a question from Judy Dempsey on the foreign and security policy challenges shaping Europe’s role in the world.
“The UK may become particularly unfocused due to a looming perspective of Scotland’s secession and an uncertain future for Northern Ireland. If the economic consequences of Brexit make the new British government backtrack on its 2015 pledge to spare defense from its austerity policy, the situation will become even more complicated. The Kremlin will not miss a chance to pursue its tactics of divide and rule vis-à-vis the Europeans and will hastily increase its anti-NATO capabilities in Europe.” – says our experts.